• News tone, last 7 days29 · weight 62%

  Daily briefs (5): 0 leaned higher, 2 lower, 3 mixed or quiet; 1,106 reports described a price move: 23% a rise, 68% a fall (weighted by importance).

• How calm gold has been, 30 days44 · weight 38%

  Gold’s daily moves over the last 30 days add up to 21.1% volatility a year, higher than on 56% of trading days in the past two years.

• Searches on our bullion finderNot used

  Left out until there are nine weeks of data (tracking began October 28, 2026).

Each input is scored from 0 (cautious) to 100 (confident) and weighted: news 50%, calm 31%, finder searches 19%. Inputs without enough data are left out and the others re-weighted. 0–39 reads as cautious, 40–60 neutral, 61–100 confident. Recomputed every 30 minutes.